A Statistical Framework for Detecting Emergent Narratives in Longitudinal Text Corpora

Published in arXiv (Working Paper/Preprint), 2026

This paper proposes a statistical framework for detecting and characterising the emergence of narratives in longitudinal text corpora. Using probabilistic topic models in combination with lag-correlation analysis, we develop methods for identifying when topics acquire narrative coherence and tracking their diffusion across time.

Available on arXiv

Recommended citation: Medeiros, C., Quigley, J., & Revie, M. (2026). A statistical framework for detecting emergent narratives in longitudinal text corpora. arXiv:2602.20939.
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